Current odds:

All good without exception. In fact I am surprised that the ANY OTHER HOME WIN odds are not lower than the 9.2 to lay I am looking at right now.


Whatever anyone says about Germany they have a habit of coming good during big competitions. In the run up to the last World Cup and, more recently, in the run up to this competition, they were pretty appalling but, come the World Cup, they soon proved to be invincible and their performance against Brazil was nothing short of astonishing and, in my book, one of the best performances I’ve ever seen in an international game. In fact probably the best I’ve seen since Brazil in the 1970 World Cup.

They have an ability that most other national sides do not have and that is the ability to refuse to allow the big event to get to them and influence the way they play. Cool headed is the key with the Germans. That all said, they haven’t won the Euros since 1996 and have lost 4 of their last 7 games but I don’t read too much into that because of the reasons given already.

The Ukraine basically don’t beat Germany but they have managed to pull several draws out of their head to head meetings. Just to be clear though, it has been a while since they played each other, November 2011 to be precise and that was a 3-3 draw in a game that Ukraine looked very much like winning until a huge comeback by the Germans stole the win from them.

The Ukraine have won 5 of their last 6 games with a draw against Slovenia stopping the six from six and, accordingly, they should not be a push over for the Germans. With that said, I really do not see this being a 4 goals game to one side and will look to trade it with confidence.

My prediction is for a 3-0 or 3-1 victory to Germany with 2-0 or 2-1 a distinct possibility but much depends on how defensively Ukraine play. They are very much a defensive wall building side who like to score on the break. They could stifle this game some and I would not be surprised with a 1 goal or simply 1-0 German victory if they do.

The Ukraine will be hoping to pull points from Poland and Northern Ireland so don’t be surprised if their tactics are built entirely around stopping Germany from scoring rather than trying to score themselves.