Odds on AO are within range currently and France are favourites but they are not the strong favourites I expected. Having seen Spain come alive against Turkey the fear will be that a relaxed French team who were, after all, until Spain’s win yesterday the tournament favourites could really turn it on and make a good trading game a nervous affair. So I would suggest that this is not a trading game for the nervous. I will decide whether to trade this one tomorrow having seen the market odds and match talk on the run up to the game.
France have displayed skill and passion in both of their games and the late goals show a determination to play it out until they hit the target. However it must be said that they haven’t faced anyone solid yet and the Swiss offer the hardest task for them in this group.
Can the Swiss beat France? I don’t think they can although they have displayed quality in the past. However they have not had any really good opposition since the World Cup and France, I believe, on current form will prove too good for them.
Oliver Giroud of France has looked dangerous from the start of this contest and, although he only has one goal so far, he was my pick for top tournament goalscorer in the Euros before the start. In fact I backed him as top goalscorer and after he scored against Romania, because I could, I layed him again after securing a small profit on everyone and keeping a reasonable return on him. I am looking forward to another goal from Giroud so I can lay him some more.
Some facts (mostly courtesy of the BBC):
- Admir Mehmedi is the first Switzerland player to score at both a European Championship finals (2016) and a World Cup finals (2014). Can he score again here against France?
- Switzerland in the game against Romania had more shots on goal than they have ever managed before in the Euros and will consider that game a lucky draw for Romania.
- Four of Switzerland’s seven goals at Euros finals have come from set-pieces (two penalties, two corners).
- The first half of the France V Albania game was the first European Championship finals game without a first-half shot on target since (strangely) France v Romania at Euro 2008.
- Payet has already had a hand in three goals in the competition (two goals, one assist), the most for a French player in a Euro finals since Zinedine Zidane in 2004 (also three).
- Three of France’s four goals in the competition so far have come in the 89th minute or later.
- The France v Albania game has the honour of the game with the longest wait since 1980 for a shot on target (Griezmann’s goal on 90 mins) in the Euros.
France are already at 6 points and are going through in this group. The result for them is therefore slightly academic for qualification purposes except that if Switzerland were to beat them they, rather than France, would qualify in the top spot. I don’t see that happening and expect a win to France but not many goals. Switzerland are hard to score against.
I see a win here for France simply because I think they will enjoy this competition more as it continues. They have the players and the flare to really dominate Switzerland and without the pressure of needing to win to advance they might just really enjoy themselves here. So 2-0 to France is my prediction with a nod for 1 goal to Switzerland being a possibility as they did score in both previous games.